Stocks slid off their best levels of the session on Friday after the U.S. and China agreed to a “phase one deal” in the trade war, but still managed to post strong gains. The deal, which will take three to five weeks to write, includes China agreeing to raise its agricultural purchases to between $40 billion and $50 billion from $8 billion to $16 billion, in addition to making reforms on intellectual property and financial services. The U.S. will not be raising tariffs from 25 percent to 30 percent on Oct. 15. A decision has not yet been made on the tariff increase scheduled for Dec. 15. China’s trade team is calling the agreement a “pause” in the trade war, and not a deal. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up as much as 517 points in the moments following the announcement before finishing higher by 319 points, or 1.2 percent.– Jonathan Garber, “US and China Agree to ‘Phase One Deal’ in Trade War, Stocks Rally,”, October 11, 2019.

米国と中国が貿易戦争の「第1段階の取引」に合意した後、金曜日の株価はセッションの最高水準を下回ったが、それでも何とか大きな利益を上げた。取引には3〜5週間かかりますが、知的財産と金融サービスの改革に加えて、中国が農産物の購入額を80億〜160億ドルから400〜500億ドルに引き上げることに合意した件が含まれます。米国は、10月15日に関税を25パーセントから30パーセントに引き上げることはありません。12月15日に予定されている関税引き上げについてはまだ決定されていません。中国の貿易チームは、この協定を貿易戦争の「一時停止」と呼んでいます、取引ではありません。ダウ・ジョーンズ工業平均は、発表後の瞬間に517ポイント上昇し、その後319ポイント(1.2%)上昇しました。–ジョナサンガーバー、「米国と中国は貿易戦争で「フェーズ1取引」に同意、株式上昇」、、2019年 10月11日。

Stocks soared on Friday, October 11, as investors got what they wanted and expected: a trade deal with China. Or did they? President Trump calls it a deal – the “first phase” of a deal. China calls it a “pause” in the ongoing trade war. There is quite a difference.

Once again, this optimistic view of what took place is occurring under the “irrational exuberance” principle of Jupiter square Neptune. Although the final passage of this aspect occurred on September 21, they are still within a 3-degree orb of squaring one another at this time. But they are brought together even more at the moment because transiting Jupiter makes an exact 135° sesquiquadrate aspect to Uranus on Monday, October 14, while Uranus and Neptune are also within only 1° of an exact 45° semi square to one another.

We discussed this unusual celestial pattern in the Forecast 2019 Book. Not only does this configuration continue the dynamics of Jupiter and Neptune (irrational exuberance related to hopes ands wishes that are not confirmed), but also those of Uranus (sudden, unexpected, and abrupt changes to that which was expected). There can be a disconnect (Uranus) between what one side thought was agreed to and what the other side claims was agreed to. The combination of all three usually leads to chaos and a breakdown of deals, as it has in the previous time this configuration was present, January through June. Maybe this time the deal takes hold, since it is the last time these planets form this relationship to one another for several years. Or, maybe it is “hope and wish” being exhibited by the investment community again.

Nevertheless, stock investors liked the announcement. Or, they did until the final 15 minutes of trading, just after “the deal,” was reported. The DJIA fell over 200 points from its high of the day at 27,014 to 26,798. With Uranus in the cosmic picture now, sudden reversals like that are more the norm. It will be interesting to see how markets respond early next week when the details of “the deal” are digested. With Neptune involved too, the details may be short on substance and large on … hopes and wishes.

In other markets, Gold fell hard again on Friday, down to $1478 early in the day as investors anticipated a trade deal to be announced. However, shortly after the announcement, Gold started a nice rally and ended up closing at 1493.50. The big loser was treasuries, for a trade deal means the Fed may not lower rates any further now that this uncertainty is being removed (or is it? China calls it a “pause,” not a “deal”). Strangely enough, the Dollar fell hard last week (after falling hard the week before). If interest rates are going to increase, one would expect the Dollar to rally. The Dollar fell as investors believed rates would trend lower over the past two weeks. But the Dollar continued to fall as progress was made on the trade war and rates increased. This “disconnect” between treasuries and the U.S. Dollar is another reflection of the presence of Uranus being highlighted in the cosmos. Past patterns do not guarantee that future patterns will repeat in the same way.



Forecast 2019 Bookでこの珍しい天体パターンについて説明しました。この構成は、木星と海王星のダイナミクス(確認されていない希望と希望に関連する不合理な活力)を継続するだけでなく、天王星のダイナミクス(突然、予期しない、突然の予期される変更)も継続します。一方の側が同意したものと他方の側が同意したものとの間に切断(天王星)が存在する可能性があります。3つすべての組み合わせは、通常、この構成が存在していた1月から6月にあったように、混乱と取引のブレイクダウンにつながります。おそらく今回取引が成立するのは、これらの惑星が数年にわたってこの関係を形成する最後の時期だからです。または、投資コミュニティが再び「希望と希望」を示しているのかもしれません。




The long series of consecutive planetary signatures that began on August 24, and peaked on September 18, now comes to its end this Monday, October 14. But it doesn’t go out quietly, for between October 12 and 14, Venus will make an opposition to Uranus, Jupiter a sesquiquadrate to Uranus, and the full moon will T-square Pluto. After that, the cosmic focus begins to shift to other matters that have been building in intensity since late August (impeachment and China trade). What is next?

The next time band of important geocosmic signatures begins on October 27 and lasts through November 14. It begins with the transit of Mars in Libra squaring the Saturn/Pluto conjunction in Capricorn. Mars in Libra (October 4-November 19) is already a challenging dynamic, for it is in its detriment. Whereas Libra wants an agreement made in a diplomatic fashion, Mars tends to be aggressive and forceful and wants a decision now, not later. One can immediately see the potential for conflict over this “deal” or “pause” between China, which is a Libra country, and Donald Trump, who is a very Martian personality with Mars rising conjunct his Leo ascendant.

So, what happens when Mars in Libra (“let’s make a deal now”) forms a square to Saturn (delays and obstacles) and Pluto (winner takes all, loser loses badly) in Capricorn (take it or leave it and suffer the consequences)? We will probably know by November 7-14 when the next TMI (Trump Mars Indicator) arises and we see if President Trump’s “calm and stable genius” self steps up, or his inner child erupts, leading to another breakdown in this negotiating process, or some other process that is going on, like the impeachment investigation process (Pluto rules investigations too). Or something else, like Turkey or Iran or Venezuela, all potential “hot spots” reflecting the temperament of Mars.

In the midst of all this, Mercury also turns retrograde in Scorpio, October 31-November 19. In fact, Mercury will be in Scorpio from October 3 through the end of the year. Mercury in Scorpio is also symbolic of investigations and undercover work. The impeachment proceedings are not going to end this year, and the amount of information being uncovered (that was hidden) is likely to be voluminous.







President Donald Trump said Friday the Federal Reserve should still lower interest rates even though China and the U.S. agreed to the first part of a trade deal. “The Federal Reserve should cut rates regardless of how good this is,” Trump said in the Oval Office. “We have a great economy, but we have a Federal Reserve that’s not in step with the rest of the world.” The U.S. central bank has already cut rates twice this year in part because of weakness in the global economy, which has arisen due to the ongoing trade war. On Friday, however, the two sides announced strides to end the trade war. – Fred Imbert, “Trump Says the Fed Should Cut Rates Anyway Even Though US and China Have Agreed to Trade Deal.”, October 11, 2019.

As long-time readers know, this is the time of the year that I write the annual Forecast Book. The greater body of writing takes place in October and November, and involves considerable time researching long-term planetary cycles that will be in effect the next year, and their correlation to cycles in human activity. There are two very important synodic cycles occurring in 2020: The first is the 32-37 year conjunction of Saturn and Pluto. For the first time since 1518, this planetary cycle will conjoin in Capricorn. This was the time of the Protestant Reformation, which was a major effort led by Martin Luther to end the corruption in the Catholic Church’s practice of selling “indulgences” to absolve sin (pre-quid pro quo).

Also fascinating is the correlation between the phases of the current Saturn/Pluto cycle that began in November 1982 to interest rates in the U.S. In fact, the correlation also involves the prior Saturn/Pluto cycle and its phases going back to August 1947. For instance, near the conjunction in 1947, near-term rates were also near zero. But every quarter cycle of Saturn and Pluto after that correlated with a cycle high in rates, and each time it was higher than the last. That is, until rates topped out in 1982. And then the correlation reversed. Every quarter cycle of Saturn/Pluto since the high in 1982 has marked a low in interest rates, with each phase coinciding with lower rates than the prior one. And here we are again, about to end the Saturn/Pluto cycle in January 2020. Are we on the verge of another 32-37 year Saturn/Pluto cycle where the phases will mirror the pattern of 1947-1982? And what does this imply about the Treasury market in 2020 and beyond, and what one’s investment planning ought to consider? After all, Saturn in Capricorn – and the entire Capricorn Stellium of 2020 – has one very important inherent virtue to those who understand cosmic dynamics: the ability to plan effectively. Capricorn and Saturn both rule the process of planning, and if done well (analysis, logic, goal-setting), it leads to success and accomplishment. If not, the result is more likely to be something of a loss.

The other major synodic cycle occurring in 2020 is the 20-year Jupiter/Saturn conjunction on December 21, 2020 (right on the winter solstice). It will take place in 0° Aquarius. This is also quite rare because it is the first time it will occur in Aquarius since 1405. In fact, it starts a series of consecutive conjunctions in air signs for the first time since 1228. That’s where my research will be headed during the next two weeks, and I am certain there will be notable political and economic cycles coinciding with the 20-year Jupiter/Saturn conjunction, because they always unfold close to a U.S. Presidential election. I will share the study of that possible correlation in the Forecast 2020 Book.


ドナルド・トランプ大統領は金曜日、中国と米国が貿易協定の最初の部分に同意したにもかかわらず、連邦準備制度はまだ金利を引き下げるべきだと述べた。「連邦準備制度は、これがどれほど良いかに関係なく金利を引き下げるべきだ」とトランプ氏は大統領府で述べた。「私たちには素晴らしい経済がありますが、世界の他の国と歩調を合わせていない連邦準備制度があります。」米国の中央銀行は、世界経済の弱さのために、今年はすでに2回金利を引き下げました。進行中の貿易戦争に。しかし、金曜日に、両国は貿易戦争を終わらせるための歩みを発表しました。–フレッド・インバート、「米国と中国が取引に合意したにもかかわらず、トランプはFRB​​が金利を引き下げるべきだと言っている」、2019年 10月11日。

長年の読者が知っているように、これは私が毎年恒例のForecast Bookを執筆する時期です。執筆の大部分は10月と11月に行われ、翌年に実施される長期的な惑星の周期と、人間の活動の周期との相関関係を調査するのにかなりの時間がかかります。2020年には2つの非常に重要なシンオディックサイクルが発生します。1つ目は、32〜37年周期で起こる土星と冥王星の結合です。1518年以来初めて、この惑星サイクルは山羊座で結合します。これはプロテスタント改革の時代でした。それは、罪を赦すために「贖宥状」を売るというカトリック教会の慣行の腐敗を終わらせるために、マーティン・ルーサーが率いた主要な努力でした。

また、興味深いのは、1982年11月に始まった現在の土星/冥王星サイクルのフェーズと米国の金利との相関関係です。実際には、相関関係には、以前の土星/ 冥王星サイクルと1947年8月に遡るフェーズも含まれます。 、1947年の連結の近くで、短期金利もゼロに近かった。しかし、その後の土星と冥王星の四半期ごとの周期は、高金利の周期と相関し、そのたびに前回よりも高くなりました。つまり、1982年にレートが最高になるまで。そしてその後、相関関係が逆転しました。1982年の高値以来の土星/ 冥王星の四半期ごとのサイクルは、金利が低く、各フェーズは前のフェーズよりも低いレートで一致しています。そして再び、2020年1月に土星/ 冥王星のサイクルを終了しようとしています。私たちは、フェーズが1947〜1982年のパターンを反映する32〜37年の土星/ 冥王星のサイクルがもうすぐ始まるのでしょうか。そして、これは2020年以降の財務市場について何を暗示し、投資計画は何を考慮すべきか?結局のところ、山羊座の土星、および2020年の山羊座ステリウム全体には、宇宙のダイナミクスを理解している人にとって非常に重要な固有の美徳があります。それは効果的に計画する能力です。山羊座と土星は両方とも計画のプロセスを支配し、うまくいけば(分析、論理、目標設定)、成功と達成につながります。そうでない場合、結果は損失の可能性が高くなります。

2020年に発生するもう1つの主要な同期サイクルは、2020年12月21日(冬至の直前)の20年周期の木星/土星の組み合わせです。水瓶座0°で行われます。これは、1405年以来初めて水瓶座で発生するため、非常にまれです。実際、1228年以来初めて、風のサインで連続した一連のコンジャンクションが開始されます。そして、私は、20年の木星/土星のコンジャンクションと一致する顕著な政治的および経済的サイクルが存在することを確信しています。なぜなら、それらは常に米国大統領選挙の近くで展開するからです。Forecast 2020 Bookでその可能性のある相関関係の研究を共有します。